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In recent years, Greece has embarked on a remarkable transformative journey, reshaping its economic landscape in the face of various challengesAlthough the latest figures from the Hellenic Statistical Authority indicate a decline in total exports for 2023 compared to the previous year, the broader narrative showcases resilience and adaptabilityThe Greek economy has made significant strides in enhancing its structural integrity, attracting foreign investments, and igniting economic dynamism, with exports now playing an increasingly pivotal role in the national economy.
The shift towards a more open and export-oriented economy is particularly noteworthyBetween 2009 and 2023, the proportion of exports of goods and services relative to Greece's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) saw a dramatic increase from 19% to 44.9%. This remarkable growth trajectory underscores the integral role that exports have assumed in Greece's economic recovery narrative
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Notably, as of 2021, Greece's export figures surpassed those of Italy, Spain, and France, highlighting a robust growth trajectory that extends beyond traditional income sources such as tourism and shippingFor context, in 2010, the total value of Greece's goods exports was recorded at €21.2 billion, representing a mere 9.5% of GDPBy 2021, exports surged to €40 billion, accounting for 22% of GDP, and further increased to 22.6% in 2023.
Examining the specifics reveals significant improvements in the diversity of export categoriesAccording to World Bank data, in 2021, six categories of goods exceeded 1% of GDP in exports, a notable increase from pre-crisis times when only oil products reached this benchmarkThis diversification can be attributed to strategic initiatives undertaken by the Greek government post-2013, aimed at bolstering the high-tech sectorTax incentives for research and technological investments culminated in substantial growth by 2020, resulting in a noticeable uptick in the production, processing, and exporting of high-tech products
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By 2020, high-tech exports constituted 13.2% of total industrial exports, a figure that compares favorably to Italy (9%), Spain (7.7%), and Portugal (7.1%), edging closer to Germany's robust figure of 15.5%. This enhancement of Greece's economic practices has significantly bolstered its competitiveness on the global stage.
The fluctuations in global market conditions have also played a crucial role in this export evolutionAmid the volatility of international energy markets and the strategic pivot of Western nations toward greater autonomy, many businesses have begun to reclaim investments from third countries, moving operations closer to homeGreece has benefited from this trend, particularly through the rise of "near-shoring" and "friend-shoring" strategies, as investors from the EU and the US increasingly recognize Greece as an attractive investment destinationThis relocation of operations has augmented the share of Greek firms within European and Western supply chains, enabling Greece to mitigate adverse impacts from global economic turmoil through the positive replacement effect of Greek products over foreign alternatives.
However, the path toward strengthening Greece's export industry is not without its hurdles
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After two consecutive years of growth, total exports fell in 2023, primarily due to declining product prices and a slowdown, or even recession, in key export marketsAccording to statistical insights, Greece recorded an export total of €50.92 billion in 2023, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year decline, with oil products experiencing the steepest decreaseWhile exports to the European Union decreased by 2.95% compared to 2022, exports to third countries saw a slight uptick of 1.37%. Despite these challenges, traditionally strong sectors such as food, machinery, and automotive continue to show improvements in their export figuresAdditionally, Greece's imports also experienced a decline, with the total—including oil products—reaching €81.96 billion, marking a significant drop of 13.3% from €94.55 billion in 2022. This downturn contributed to a reduction in the trade deficit from €38.79 billion in 2022 to €31.04 billion in 2023, representing approximately a 20% decrease.
While exports play a vital role in Greece's economic activities, contributing to 44.9% of GDP in 2023, this still lags behind the European Union average of 52.7%. Moreover, in terms of the ratio of goods exports to GDP, Greece remains below the EU average, indicating substantial room for growth and improvement.
With an improved credit rating and heightened investor confidence, Greece's next steps should focus on further attracting foreign direct investments, enhancing the quality and utilization of these funds, and creating an enabling environment for businesses
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